• Valoración de proyectos mineros en el Perú mediante el enfoque de opciones reales

      Pérez Peral, Anastasio; Agüero Olivos, Carlos Eduardo (Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, 2015-11-09)
      The evaluation of an investment project in the mining sector in Peru, is made the traditional way, using the method of Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), with the consequence obtain estimates of valuation not necessarily close to reality. The DCF does not take into account various opportunities that might occur in the project over time, by the following simple reason: it assumes that all estimates today, certain assumptions occur in the future. The real options method is more flexible valuation method for structuring thinking strategically and promoted to senior managerial better in the difficult task of making decisions necessary to achieve greater wealth generation. This research defines a relatively simple method of evaluating a mining project using one or more real choices and considering stochastic models metal price. A real case (a project of a mining company that invests in Peru) supported both Excel and @Risk, in order to demonstrate the positive impact on value creation (for investors) that has this methodology is presented and of course, greater than that obtained with traditional methodology. It also shows that the method of real options is a very attractive investment projects to evaluate alternative, particularly investment projects in the mining sector of our country
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